Let’s not kid ourselves-Man Utd need to lose this league before anyone else (Chelsea) can win it. Here was I all set to pretty much wrap up the season and look forward to what might happen in the summer when Arsenal implode in consecutive games and Man Utd stutter away to a toothless Newcastle United. In the meantime, Chelsea took care of business (impressively) against Birmingham and we have a 6 point gap with 5 games to go.
Still, let’s have a look at the fixtures:
Man Utd: 70 pts; +38 gd Chelsea: 64 pts; +34 gd Arsenal: 64 pts; +32 gd
23 April Everton (h) 23 April West Ham (h) 23 April Bolton (a)
1 May Arsenal (a) 30 April Spurs (h) 1 May Man Utd (h)
8 May Chelsea (h) 8 May Man Utd (a) 8 May Stoke (a)
14 May Blackburn (a) 15 May Newcastle (h) 15 May Aston Villa (h)
22 May Blackpool (h) 22 May Everton (a) 22 May Fulham (a)
Let’s start with Arsenal, as despite Monsieur Wenger’s belief that they are still in the race, I am sceptical, especially after recent results-fair enough they are unbeaten in the league since mid-December, when they lost 1-0 at Old Trafford, but there have been too many damaging draws-4-4 v Newcastle after leading 4-0; 3-3 with Spurs after leading 3-1; 0-0 at home v Blackburn and at home v Sunderland. There’s no real shame in drawing 1-1 at home to Liverpool, but it was the manner of the result that raises questions-going ahead deep into injury time, a contender needs to see out the 2 minutes left to seal the win-the defending that led to Liverpool’s penalty equaliser was criminal.
Out of the 5 fixtures remaining, I wouldn’t be surprised if Arsenal fail to win any, although I suspect that Stoke may have other things on their mind a week ahead of the FA Cup Final, and surely Arsenal will be more motivated to take the points at home to Villa and away to Fulham. However, that motivation will depend largely on the next 2 results. They visit a Bolton team smarting from their FA Cup thrashing at the hands of Stoke last weekend. Bolton appear to have little or nothing to play for at this point, with the Europa League surely out of reach, however, you would expect that they will want to rebound after that defeat to Stoke, and, will have in-form striker Danny Sturridge back in the fold today. Let’s say that out their 4 games not involving Man Utd, Arsenal will garner 10 points, and improve their goal difference by 5 goals-which assuming Man Utd breakeven in goal difference at worst would not be enough to break a tie.
Chelsea moved ahead of Arsenal on goal difference after beating Birmingham 3-1, but still trail Man Utd by 4 goals. Chelsea should take full points at home to West Ham and Newcastle, perhaps able to pad their goal difference in the process. Spurs at home and Everton away are harder to call. Chelsea should have beaten Spurs earlier in the season, even in the midst of their horrific form through November and December, and Spurs are undoubtedly running out of steam, so I’ll assume 3 points (just) from that game as well. Away to Everton on the last day is a tough fixture-Chelsea have beaten Everton in 3 games this season, and Everton could be playing for points to move ahead of Liverpool, but not qualify for the Europa League, so it’s hard to say how motivation that will offer today’s professionals. Let’s say that excluding the Man Utd fixture, Chelsea can also win 10 points, but should improve their goal difference by 7.
Finally to Man Utd-the team very much in the driving seat. So much hinges on today’s game against Everton. Even if Chelsea and Arsenal can beat Man Utd and win their other remaining games (which I have not assumed above), they would need to make up a significant enough goal differential in the process. Given that Man Utd face Blackpool at home, you wouldn’t bet against a 3 or 4 goal haul in that game, which could be the deciding factor in the event of a tie on points. Away to Blackburn shouldn’t really present many difficulties for Man Utd, but, their away form is poor and Blackburn could be desperate for points. Based on their home form, I see Man Utd taking 6 points from Everton and Blackpool, and at best I expect a draw at Ewood Park, so 7 points from 3 games, which would leave Chelsea and Arsenal with 15 points to make up.
Assuming Chelsea and Arsenal both take 10 points from a possible 12 and then beat Man Utd at Old Trafford and the Emirates respectively, they would both finish on 77 points, with Chelsea ahead of Arsenal on goal difference. Man Utd would also finish on 77, perhaps only a goal ahead of Chelsea, assuming they can beat Everton by 2 goals and Blackpool by 3, and only suffering single goal defeats to Chelsea and Arsenal. Wow-looks interesting, doesn’t it?
But, here’s what I think happens in reality. Man Utd beat Everton handily today, Arsenal lose to Bolton and then Man Utd get a result at the Emirates and at least a point from their home game with Chelsea. Assuming they still beat Blackpool and get a point at Ewood Park, they would finish on 79 points, with Chelsea on 75 points, and Arsenal finishing perhaps on 74. Man Utd to regain the title, with one of the lowest points tallies in Premier League history (Man Utd won the league with 75 points in 1996-97).
Only one thing is certain-most of my predictions above will be wrong, but Man Utd will still win the title.
Saturday, 23 April 2011
The Amazing Race (not so much)
Monday, 11 April 2011
Stand and Deliver
So, tomorrow night at Old Trafford an expensively assembled and overpaid squad will attempt to overturn a narrow deficit and force their way into the Semi-Finals of this years Champions League. It's time to put up or shut up. To be honest, a bit more bluster would do no harm I'm sure. Times were more interesting and encounters more fiery when the Special One was around.
In the 1st leg at Stamford Bridge last week, I had to watch (and listen) as the worse than average Carrick and geriatric Giggs schemed to create the scoring chance for the council estate thug Rooney to give Man Utd what could be a decisive lead. Chelsea huffed, but didn't really puff, and Man Utd looked comfortable throughout, helped I'm sure by the fact that Messrs. Ferdinand and Vidic were re-united at the heart of their defence. I'm being a bit unkind to Rooney-this was as well as I'd seen him play in a while, and he showed remarkable self-restraint when being kicked around by Essien and others earlier in the game.
So, tomorrow night, it's going to take something special. Nothing, and I mean nothing, I have seen this season gives me any faith that Chelsea are capable of getting the win in normal time. Fernando has had the time, if not the chances, to open his Chelsea account, but it didn't really look any more likely last week, even though I was relying on the big occasion and the memory of what he's managed to achieve against Vidic and Co in the past to spur him on. Tomorrow night he should have the bile of the thousands in the stands to egg him on-the fact that he has played for Liverpool and was booked for diving last week is sure to attract plenty of of ire from the Stretford End. Hopefully he will feed off this negative energy, but I'm not holding my breath.
Meanwhile, Arsenal managed a win at the seemingly doomed Blackpool to 'stay in contention' for the Premier League title. Please. Arsenal must go to Old Trafford as well as face Spurs and Liverpool in the remaining 5 weeks of the season. If they win even 1 of those games I would be surprised. I for one am giddy at that the thought of Andy Carroll getting in Jens Lehmann's face at a set piece. This recent story suggests that he's still someone with issues. Prior to their win at Blackpool, Arsene Wenger unwisely had a go at the Arsenal supporters-calls for his head likely to grow louder between now and the end of the season-where they will end up, again, with nothing.
As I write this, Liverpool are dismantling Man City at Anfield, watched by the fawning Ray Wilkins-surely the nicest man ever to provide commentary on a football game (he was equally wide eyed and gushing at the Bernabeu last week). I still like him in the job better than the bald Scottish sexist.
In the 1st leg at Stamford Bridge last week, I had to watch (and listen) as the worse than average Carrick and geriatric Giggs schemed to create the scoring chance for the council estate thug Rooney to give Man Utd what could be a decisive lead. Chelsea huffed, but didn't really puff, and Man Utd looked comfortable throughout, helped I'm sure by the fact that Messrs. Ferdinand and Vidic were re-united at the heart of their defence. I'm being a bit unkind to Rooney-this was as well as I'd seen him play in a while, and he showed remarkable self-restraint when being kicked around by Essien and others earlier in the game.
So, tomorrow night, it's going to take something special. Nothing, and I mean nothing, I have seen this season gives me any faith that Chelsea are capable of getting the win in normal time. Fernando has had the time, if not the chances, to open his Chelsea account, but it didn't really look any more likely last week, even though I was relying on the big occasion and the memory of what he's managed to achieve against Vidic and Co in the past to spur him on. Tomorrow night he should have the bile of the thousands in the stands to egg him on-the fact that he has played for Liverpool and was booked for diving last week is sure to attract plenty of of ire from the Stretford End. Hopefully he will feed off this negative energy, but I'm not holding my breath.
Meanwhile, Arsenal managed a win at the seemingly doomed Blackpool to 'stay in contention' for the Premier League title. Please. Arsenal must go to Old Trafford as well as face Spurs and Liverpool in the remaining 5 weeks of the season. If they win even 1 of those games I would be surprised. I for one am giddy at that the thought of Andy Carroll getting in Jens Lehmann's face at a set piece. This recent story suggests that he's still someone with issues. Prior to their win at Blackpool, Arsene Wenger unwisely had a go at the Arsenal supporters-calls for his head likely to grow louder between now and the end of the season-where they will end up, again, with nothing.
As I write this, Liverpool are dismantling Man City at Anfield, watched by the fawning Ray Wilkins-surely the nicest man ever to provide commentary on a football game (he was equally wide eyed and gushing at the Bernabeu last week). I still like him in the job better than the bald Scottish sexist.
Labels:
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Fernando Torres,
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Man Utd
Tuesday, 5 April 2011
Winding Down
Ok. There have been several false starts since my last posting. So much has happened since then-unless your name is Fernando Torres of course. Between Man Utd. Losing their grip on the Premier League title (only to recover it again after recovering from 2 goals down against Avram Grant’s West Ham at the weekend), to Arsenal fooling with their supporters yet again (getting comprehensively outplayed by Barcelona in the deciding leg of their Champions League clash as well as failing to take 3 points from Sunderland, West Brom or latterly Blackburn, to Ashley Cole going postal on an apprentice, a lot has happened, but not much has really changed.
Liverpool are still a Jekyll and Hyde team-like no other it seems. Sure they have beaten Man Utd and Chelsea under King Kenny’s 2nd coming, but they have also lost to Blackpool, West Ham and now West Brom (managed by someone who seems to have found his level again). Players needed-apply within I guess. Even if he does get the job permanently, I figure Liverpool need at least 4 players to be considered a serious contender for the title itself, let alone the Champions League positions. Ashley Young is a player linked with them consistently-that would help-as would a centre back, left back and probably another midfield player, someone like Joe Cole, not the ghost of Joe Cole, who has been seen around Anfield at times this season. It’s hard to know what they will get from NESV-Meireles was signed by the Texans and the purchase of Suarez and Carroll was essentially self-financed by the sale of Torres. It should be an interesting summer on Merseyside.
I don’t think I’m the only one suggesting that Arsenal need a change of tack. If their current manager is not up to the task of either then they should look elsewhere. This is sacrilege according to most journalists, but what exactly have Arsenal achieved over the past few years, and who should be accountable for the lack of tangible success? Wenger is hailed for the football his side play-pretty at times for sure, but too often impotent and gets a lot of credit for the club’s financial position as well-a laudable objective to be sure, but surely the manager should concentrate on the football at a big club like Arsenal and leave the finances to someone else (like a Director of Football maybe?). Unless Wenger shows a bit more nous in the transfer market (Arshavin and Rosicky have hardly been success stories, Arsenal are said to have passed on the chance to sign Mesut Ozil, Chamakh was free, but hasn’t set the world alight) or changes the way his teams play-unlikely I would say, then Arsenal are simply gambling that the opposition declines enough to allow them to win a title. And if that wasn't this year, then when will it be?
For all his troubles, Wayne Rooney has scored some truly vital goals for Man Utd this season. Witness his ‘spectacular’ overhead kick to win the Manchester derby to Saturday’s hat trick, you can’t deny that his class is still there. Whether a mooted 2 game suspension will do anything to set him back remains to be seen. Yet again, Man Utd seem to ride their luck better than most. If it’s not Rooney escaping what would have been a longer ban for his elbow on James McCarthy, it’s Nemanja Vidic hacking all around him at the weekend, after being booked earlier in the game, and failing to earn a second yellow card. C’est la vie. Regardless of the circumstances, coming from 2 goals down at half-time is worthy of the title, this year anyway. I wouldn’t back against them for the league and cup double at this point either-Man City’s sterile approach to the game-even their manager was ‘surprised’ at their goal scoring exploits against hapless Sunderland at the weekend-suggests that Utd will find a way to win their upcoming FA Cup Semi-Final, which will set them up in a final against either Bolton or Stoke. Ahem. The Champions League? Please.
I have to believe that now is the time for Fernando Torres to ‘finally’ break his goal drought for Chelsea. What better way, time and place to do it than at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday night. Although Chelsea’s form has improved since his signing, they still don’t seem like a well oiled outfit. Impressive as he has been, David Luiz showed that he has his faults-it was his rash lunge that allowed Jon Walters to commence his run that led to the opening goal for Stoke at the weekend (even though I still think he looks an excellent signing). Michael Essien still looks a shadow of his former self at times. No matter what combination is tried up front, the participants seem ill disposed to forming a partnership. The league title is surely beyond them now-so surely the Champions League Quarter-Final should see them going for broke. By and large, they now have a full squad to choose from, aside from the cup-tied Luiz and still injured Benayoun (who could feature in the return leg at Old Trafford). For around 40 minutes or so last month, Chelsea showed that they can be a better team than Man Utd-the midfield battle surely favours them if Essien, Lampard and Ramires can play to their potential. Tomorrow night, they need to play at a higher tempo for 90 minutes-their season depends on it at this point, and maybe Ancelotti’s job.
The result from Milan tonight-where Schalke have beaten Inter by 5 goals to 2-should serve as great motivation to whichever English team wins this tie-who will surely be heavily favoured to make the final at Schalke’s expense (I’m assuming that there will be no German miracle for Inter in this round), and, while Barcelona are still the hot favourites (rightfully so), in a one-off game, anything is possible. Chelsea v Barcelona at Wembley? A fitting site for a dish best served cold. But, dominant as Barcelona have been this season, they face a tough enough trip to the Ukraine, and more than likely will have to overcome Real Madrid in the semi-finals (as he showed last year, Mourinho is still a master tactician, but whether he has the players at Madrid to execute the type of game plan that has served him well at Porto, Chelsea and Inter remains to be seen. I suspect not.
I guess I’m getting ahead of myself here, but after tonight’s results, it’s nearly safe to say that Madrid and Schalke will feature in the next round. After tomorrow, I don’t necessarily think the picture will be any clearer, well at least as regards Chelsea/Man Utd, but I’m holding out for a Chelsea/Barcelona final on May 28th.
P.S. I have been saying all season (not on here it seems) that Spurs play schoolboy type football-attack and defend with no ball retention in between. Their tactical ineptness was cruelly (heh heh) exposed tonight, although Peter Crouch playing like Lee Cattermole didn’t help their case.
Liverpool are still a Jekyll and Hyde team-like no other it seems. Sure they have beaten Man Utd and Chelsea under King Kenny’s 2nd coming, but they have also lost to Blackpool, West Ham and now West Brom (managed by someone who seems to have found his level again). Players needed-apply within I guess. Even if he does get the job permanently, I figure Liverpool need at least 4 players to be considered a serious contender for the title itself, let alone the Champions League positions. Ashley Young is a player linked with them consistently-that would help-as would a centre back, left back and probably another midfield player, someone like Joe Cole, not the ghost of Joe Cole, who has been seen around Anfield at times this season. It’s hard to know what they will get from NESV-Meireles was signed by the Texans and the purchase of Suarez and Carroll was essentially self-financed by the sale of Torres. It should be an interesting summer on Merseyside.
I don’t think I’m the only one suggesting that Arsenal need a change of tack. If their current manager is not up to the task of either then they should look elsewhere. This is sacrilege according to most journalists, but what exactly have Arsenal achieved over the past few years, and who should be accountable for the lack of tangible success? Wenger is hailed for the football his side play-pretty at times for sure, but too often impotent and gets a lot of credit for the club’s financial position as well-a laudable objective to be sure, but surely the manager should concentrate on the football at a big club like Arsenal and leave the finances to someone else (like a Director of Football maybe?). Unless Wenger shows a bit more nous in the transfer market (Arshavin and Rosicky have hardly been success stories, Arsenal are said to have passed on the chance to sign Mesut Ozil, Chamakh was free, but hasn’t set the world alight) or changes the way his teams play-unlikely I would say, then Arsenal are simply gambling that the opposition declines enough to allow them to win a title. And if that wasn't this year, then when will it be?
For all his troubles, Wayne Rooney has scored some truly vital goals for Man Utd this season. Witness his ‘spectacular’ overhead kick to win the Manchester derby to Saturday’s hat trick, you can’t deny that his class is still there. Whether a mooted 2 game suspension will do anything to set him back remains to be seen. Yet again, Man Utd seem to ride their luck better than most. If it’s not Rooney escaping what would have been a longer ban for his elbow on James McCarthy, it’s Nemanja Vidic hacking all around him at the weekend, after being booked earlier in the game, and failing to earn a second yellow card. C’est la vie. Regardless of the circumstances, coming from 2 goals down at half-time is worthy of the title, this year anyway. I wouldn’t back against them for the league and cup double at this point either-Man City’s sterile approach to the game-even their manager was ‘surprised’ at their goal scoring exploits against hapless Sunderland at the weekend-suggests that Utd will find a way to win their upcoming FA Cup Semi-Final, which will set them up in a final against either Bolton or Stoke. Ahem. The Champions League? Please.
I have to believe that now is the time for Fernando Torres to ‘finally’ break his goal drought for Chelsea. What better way, time and place to do it than at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday night. Although Chelsea’s form has improved since his signing, they still don’t seem like a well oiled outfit. Impressive as he has been, David Luiz showed that he has his faults-it was his rash lunge that allowed Jon Walters to commence his run that led to the opening goal for Stoke at the weekend (even though I still think he looks an excellent signing). Michael Essien still looks a shadow of his former self at times. No matter what combination is tried up front, the participants seem ill disposed to forming a partnership. The league title is surely beyond them now-so surely the Champions League Quarter-Final should see them going for broke. By and large, they now have a full squad to choose from, aside from the cup-tied Luiz and still injured Benayoun (who could feature in the return leg at Old Trafford). For around 40 minutes or so last month, Chelsea showed that they can be a better team than Man Utd-the midfield battle surely favours them if Essien, Lampard and Ramires can play to their potential. Tomorrow night, they need to play at a higher tempo for 90 minutes-their season depends on it at this point, and maybe Ancelotti’s job.
The result from Milan tonight-where Schalke have beaten Inter by 5 goals to 2-should serve as great motivation to whichever English team wins this tie-who will surely be heavily favoured to make the final at Schalke’s expense (I’m assuming that there will be no German miracle for Inter in this round), and, while Barcelona are still the hot favourites (rightfully so), in a one-off game, anything is possible. Chelsea v Barcelona at Wembley? A fitting site for a dish best served cold. But, dominant as Barcelona have been this season, they face a tough enough trip to the Ukraine, and more than likely will have to overcome Real Madrid in the semi-finals (as he showed last year, Mourinho is still a master tactician, but whether he has the players at Madrid to execute the type of game plan that has served him well at Porto, Chelsea and Inter remains to be seen. I suspect not.
I guess I’m getting ahead of myself here, but after tonight’s results, it’s nearly safe to say that Madrid and Schalke will feature in the next round. After tomorrow, I don’t necessarily think the picture will be any clearer, well at least as regards Chelsea/Man Utd, but I’m holding out for a Chelsea/Barcelona final on May 28th.
P.S. I have been saying all season (not on here it seems) that Spurs play schoolboy type football-attack and defend with no ball retention in between. Their tactical ineptness was cruelly (heh heh) exposed tonight, although Peter Crouch playing like Lee Cattermole didn’t help their case.
Labels:
Arsenal,
Arsene Wenger,
Champions League,
Chelsea,
Liverpool,
Man City,
Man Utd,
Roberto Mancini
Sunday, 6 February 2011
The Beatings Will Continue Until Morale Improves
So, just over 10 days ago I wrote that Chelsea's problems would not be solved by the addition of Fernando Torres. And so it was evident in todays loss to Liverpool-this team is no longer fit for purpose. On a weekend when we saw records broken for goals scored in the Premier League, Chelsea could barely manage a shot on target in 90 minutes against a well organised Liverpool team. And the problems continue at the other end of the team-FUD is rife in the Chelsea penalty area of late, as witnessed by the events leading to Liverpool's winning goal (very well taken by their outstanding player of recent weeks, Raul Meireles), and by the tense exchange between Cech and Ivanovic late in the 1st half.
Torres is an excellent predator-but when there is no prey, he is just another body on the pitch. Chelsea's failure to create more that 1 opportunity for the mercurial Spaniard makes him no more useful than a Kalou or a Malouda. Not to mention that in 2 games for Bolton, Danny Sturridge has managed 2 goals (I'm not for 1 minute suggesting that Sturridge is a better player than Torres). Maybe if Chelsea were more willing to give youth a chance, this season wouldn't have turned so stale so quickly. Sturridge, McEachran, Bruma, van Aanholt, Kakuta have played sparingly and are now likely to feature less due to loan moves or the manager's conservatism.
This is now the 7th game in which Chelsea have failed to score in this years Premier League. Contrast that with last season, where they scored in 37 of 38 games, and Man Utd's record this season (have scored in 22 of 25 games), you can see that there is a problem, and the cause is a lack of creativity rather than a failure to take chances. When you add that to a shaky back 4, you are going to have more days like today.
On a weekend when Man Utd finally showed that they are far from invincible and Arsenal showed (yet again) that they don't have the mental toughness to win a Premier League title, this was an outstanding chance for Chelsea to get themselves back in the title race and put a bit of pressue on Man Utd ahead of next Saturday's Manchester derby. Instead, Chelsea now have 13 games left to overturn a 10 point deficit. Even if they manage to beat Man Utd twice, they will have to win every other game as well and hope that others can do to Man Utd what Wolves managed yesterday. No surprise that the bookies have Man Utd at 6/4 on to win the Title at this point.
Tip of the cap to Liverpool-Jamie Carragher epitomises true grit, and in Meireles, they had the outstanding midfield player on the pitch today. King Kenny had a plan that worked to perfection-surely NESV will hand him the reins on a permanent basis sooner rather than later?
Torres is an excellent predator-but when there is no prey, he is just another body on the pitch. Chelsea's failure to create more that 1 opportunity for the mercurial Spaniard makes him no more useful than a Kalou or a Malouda. Not to mention that in 2 games for Bolton, Danny Sturridge has managed 2 goals (I'm not for 1 minute suggesting that Sturridge is a better player than Torres). Maybe if Chelsea were more willing to give youth a chance, this season wouldn't have turned so stale so quickly. Sturridge, McEachran, Bruma, van Aanholt, Kakuta have played sparingly and are now likely to feature less due to loan moves or the manager's conservatism.
This is now the 7th game in which Chelsea have failed to score in this years Premier League. Contrast that with last season, where they scored in 37 of 38 games, and Man Utd's record this season (have scored in 22 of 25 games), you can see that there is a problem, and the cause is a lack of creativity rather than a failure to take chances. When you add that to a shaky back 4, you are going to have more days like today.
On a weekend when Man Utd finally showed that they are far from invincible and Arsenal showed (yet again) that they don't have the mental toughness to win a Premier League title, this was an outstanding chance for Chelsea to get themselves back in the title race and put a bit of pressue on Man Utd ahead of next Saturday's Manchester derby. Instead, Chelsea now have 13 games left to overturn a 10 point deficit. Even if they manage to beat Man Utd twice, they will have to win every other game as well and hope that others can do to Man Utd what Wolves managed yesterday. No surprise that the bookies have Man Utd at 6/4 on to win the Title at this point.
Tip of the cap to Liverpool-Jamie Carragher epitomises true grit, and in Meireles, they had the outstanding midfield player on the pitch today. King Kenny had a plan that worked to perfection-surely NESV will hand him the reins on a permanent basis sooner rather than later?
Saturday, 29 January 2011
A Bullish Move
Well, just the other day I tweeted that this was the worse transfer window ever. Bent and Dzeko aside, not much has happened. And then, on Friday, we got some action.
To me, something seemed fishy. Chelsea allegedly had bid £52m for Atheltico Madrid pair Aguero and Godin, and nothing had come of it. Then, £22m or so for Benfica's Brzailian defender David Luiz. Off and on, now seemingly dead. Then, most surprising of all, a reported £35m bid for Fernando Torres. This coming just as Liverpool were in the process of sealing the signature of Luis Suarez, who would appear to be the ideal compliment to Torres in Liverpool's attack. My suspicion is that Chelsea were merely flashing money around to make it seem like they were taking action to arrest what has been an alarming decline, but weren't really serious about signing anybody. However, the news that Torres has in fact handed in a transfer request makes me think that there may be some substance to this bid for the Spaniard.
Anyway, let's just assume that Chelsea are serious about signing Torres. What would he add? Well, surely he is the best natural finisher in the Premier League, if not in world football. However, he wouldn't really have changed the shape of the Sunderland or Arsenal games in the past few months. And, he probably wouldn't have prevented Louis Saha's header in this afternoon's FA Cup tie. Still, he would surely provide more of a cutting edge than Anelka, and could have made the difference against the likes of Wolves and Birmingham, games Chelsea have lost 1-0 in recent times. And, Chelsea are a team that don't tend to create an abundance of chances-Torres is just the man to exploit such limited opportunities.
But how would Chelsea line up with the mercurial Spaniard on board? Surely they wouldn't persist with the 4-3-3? The most likely scenario to me is a 4-1-2-1-2, aka the 'Diamond' with Essien deep, Ramires and Malouda right and left respectively, Lampard 'in the hole' and Drogba and Torres up front. Surely they would not ask Torres to play the same type of position as Anelka? That formation doesn't really work for me, as Essien needs to be allowed to surge forward to get the most out of him. The alternative would be to play Essien on the right and Mikel as the anchor, but how can you leave out the ever improving Ramires? (I'm assuming that Lampard is 'untouchable, although I would argue he is the odd man out in a balanced midfield quartet at Chelsea these days).
All moot points until any transfer is confirmed, which is still far from likely at this point. The situation seems to mirror that which Man Utd faced with Wayne Rooney earlier this year, and we know how that has worked out. If Liverpool do manage to keep Torres, they will be hoping for a great return than 2 goals, which is what Man Utd have got from Rooney since he committed his future to the red half of Manchester.
Why exactly has Torres handed in this request now, just as Liverpool have signed what could prove to be a player of real class and have started making some forward progress under Kenny Dalglish, and, have American owners who appear committed to the club and appreciative of its heritage. At the same time, Chelsea appear to be a team in decline. Their chances of retaining their Premier League title appear remote. While they have a favourable draw in he Champions League, it's hard to see them beating the likes of Barcelona or Inter Milan should they progress past FC Copenhagen. And, their place in next season's Champions League is far from certain at this point. I can only think that(a) he has been offered (unofficially) a ridiculous wage; (B) is not enamoured with Dalglish; (c) is tired of having his house robbed and worried at the thought of his children growing up to sound like John Aldridge.
It's interesting as well that Torres waited until now. If money was the issue, then surely he should have been making noises earlier in January, when Man City were shopping for Edin Dzeko. It's hard to believe that money would be an issue for City now, even with the money spent on Dzeko, and so I wouldn't be surprised if we hear from them before close of business on Monday.
Right now, all that is certain is that Liverpool fans face an anxious wait for the next 48 or so hours. For Chelsea, the signing of Torres could be the spark the team needs this season if they are to complete an unlikely turnaround.
To me, something seemed fishy. Chelsea allegedly had bid £52m for Atheltico Madrid pair Aguero and Godin, and nothing had come of it. Then, £22m or so for Benfica's Brzailian defender David Luiz. Off and on, now seemingly dead. Then, most surprising of all, a reported £35m bid for Fernando Torres. This coming just as Liverpool were in the process of sealing the signature of Luis Suarez, who would appear to be the ideal compliment to Torres in Liverpool's attack. My suspicion is that Chelsea were merely flashing money around to make it seem like they were taking action to arrest what has been an alarming decline, but weren't really serious about signing anybody. However, the news that Torres has in fact handed in a transfer request makes me think that there may be some substance to this bid for the Spaniard.
Anyway, let's just assume that Chelsea are serious about signing Torres. What would he add? Well, surely he is the best natural finisher in the Premier League, if not in world football. However, he wouldn't really have changed the shape of the Sunderland or Arsenal games in the past few months. And, he probably wouldn't have prevented Louis Saha's header in this afternoon's FA Cup tie. Still, he would surely provide more of a cutting edge than Anelka, and could have made the difference against the likes of Wolves and Birmingham, games Chelsea have lost 1-0 in recent times. And, Chelsea are a team that don't tend to create an abundance of chances-Torres is just the man to exploit such limited opportunities.
But how would Chelsea line up with the mercurial Spaniard on board? Surely they wouldn't persist with the 4-3-3? The most likely scenario to me is a 4-1-2-1-2, aka the 'Diamond' with Essien deep, Ramires and Malouda right and left respectively, Lampard 'in the hole' and Drogba and Torres up front. Surely they would not ask Torres to play the same type of position as Anelka? That formation doesn't really work for me, as Essien needs to be allowed to surge forward to get the most out of him. The alternative would be to play Essien on the right and Mikel as the anchor, but how can you leave out the ever improving Ramires? (I'm assuming that Lampard is 'untouchable, although I would argue he is the odd man out in a balanced midfield quartet at Chelsea these days).
All moot points until any transfer is confirmed, which is still far from likely at this point. The situation seems to mirror that which Man Utd faced with Wayne Rooney earlier this year, and we know how that has worked out. If Liverpool do manage to keep Torres, they will be hoping for a great return than 2 goals, which is what Man Utd have got from Rooney since he committed his future to the red half of Manchester.
Why exactly has Torres handed in this request now, just as Liverpool have signed what could prove to be a player of real class and have started making some forward progress under Kenny Dalglish, and, have American owners who appear committed to the club and appreciative of its heritage. At the same time, Chelsea appear to be a team in decline. Their chances of retaining their Premier League title appear remote. While they have a favourable draw in he Champions League, it's hard to see them beating the likes of Barcelona or Inter Milan should they progress past FC Copenhagen. And, their place in next season's Champions League is far from certain at this point. I can only think that(a) he has been offered (unofficially) a ridiculous wage; (B) is not enamoured with Dalglish; (c) is tired of having his house robbed and worried at the thought of his children growing up to sound like John Aldridge.
It's interesting as well that Torres waited until now. If money was the issue, then surely he should have been making noises earlier in January, when Man City were shopping for Edin Dzeko. It's hard to believe that money would be an issue for City now, even with the money spent on Dzeko, and so I wouldn't be surprised if we hear from them before close of business on Monday.
Right now, all that is certain is that Liverpool fans face an anxious wait for the next 48 or so hours. For Chelsea, the signing of Torres could be the spark the team needs this season if they are to complete an unlikely turnaround.
Saturday, 15 January 2011
Far from 7th Heaven
7-0 victories over Championship strugglers don't count for much. Especially when the striker that got 2 of the goals will likely revert to the bench for this afternoon's Premier League game away to Blackburn. Especially when Didier Drogba will probably lead the line again today, despite seeming a shadow of his former self since his bout of malaria. Especially when Roy the Boy wasn't around-otherwise it would have been much sweeter to savour. Since I last blogged, when the wheels were just beginning to come off Chelsea's season, things have been much worse than I ever could have imagined. The only bright spot in the past 2 months was the postponement of the Christmas clash with Manchester United, which surely would have been a United win (possibly by a big score), and, (trying to stay positive,) has given Chelsea the chance to take 6 points off the new favourites in the final quarter of the season.
It seems like the tide has shifted permanently in Man Utd's favour. Chelsea haven't played well enough to deserve more than they've got in fairness, but United aren't setting the world on fire either-witness their recent league game with West Brom-they should have been dead and buried at half-time, but hung around long enough for West Brom to miss a penalty, lose another centre back and forget to mark Chicarito from a corner. Chelsea meantime have missed a last minute penalty at Spurs, stormed back to take the lead late against Villa, only to lose in injury time, and contrived to lose to Wolves through a Jose Bosingwa own goal. Add to that a flat and pathetic performance at the Emirates and Chelsea now find themselves out of the Champions League qualifying places, and 9 points behind United, having played a game more than the league leaders.
What exactly is wrong at Chelsea is hard to say. Lack of interest/motivation? Perhaps, although the celebrations after the 3rd goal against Villa seemed genuine. Thin squad? Almost certainly-Kakuta, Kalou and Sturridge don't look good enough most of the time, although Kakuta and Sturridge need to see more game time. McEachran has looked really good in very limited action, but where does he fit in a 4-3-3 assuming Frank Lampard has to play. Ferreira? Not good enough, and Ancellotti's infuriating habit of using both right full backs in a game is a waste of a substitution. Injuries too have played a part-Alex, Zhirkov and Benayoun have missed significant time, as have Lapmard and Drogba, who have started slowly on their return to the 1st team. On the coaching front, it does look like the rug was pulled from under Ancellotti-the interaction between Ray Wilkins' replacement (Michael Emenalo)is non-existent during games. What exactly he contributes on the training ground is a moot point. Whatever is wrong, it needs to be fixed, and that needs to start today against Blackburn Rovers, who go into the game without Ronaldinho, but can welcome back Roque Santa Cruz from the free spending blue half of Manchester. A telling stat from the excellent Infostrada-Chelsea have picked up 7 points from a possible 27 in their last 9 Premier League matches. Only Villa (5) and West Brom (6) have picked up fewer in the same period.
For Man Utd, it's hard to say what is behind their form. Resiliance is the key I suppose. Rooney is nowhere near the player he was when fit last season, Berbatov is brilliant one game, boorish the next. Their defence has tend to bend rather than break, with injuries and mistakes leading them to concede goals to average opposition, although it has been somewhat better of late. Tip of the cap to Sir Alex, he's probably won another league title, and I wouldn't rule them out for the double after last Sunday's win.
Arsenal's win over Chelsea was seen as a 'pivotal moment' and signified 'men becoming boys'. 3 days later, Arsenal went out and drew 2-2 with 10 man Wigan. 2 steps forward, 2 steps back. In reality, anyone with an objective view of the Arsenal v Chelsea game would have seen a poor game of football, settled by the side that made the most of the opporunities gifted to it by their opponent. Without Cesc Faberas in midfield, Arsenal were rudderles, and it was only when he was moved there did they begin to tick. Like Drogba at Chelsea, and possibly Rooney, Arsenal's best player seems to be short of the sort of fitness and sharpness that allows him to be an elite difference maker. Arsenal still lack the consistency and need a little luck with injuries before they can really contend. Right now, they are still too patchy for my liking, but have the most talented squad.
Of the others-Man City will hang in there, but play too grim a brand of football to win the league-unlike Mourinho's teams, they seem more interest in containing the opposition rather than taking all 3 points. Spurs are still around, but looking to bring in David Beckham and the circus that goes with him shows that 'Arry just can't resist wheeling and dealing.
In breaking news today, it seems that Avram Grant is yet again a dead man walking, and that he will be replaced as West Ham manager by Martin O'Neil after today's game with Arsenal. Avram seems to doom any club he is involved with, I would be surprised if we see him in the Premier League again. On the Martin O'Neill story, it seems strange that he would take on such a difficult task when the Liverpool job is likely to be available in the summer...
It seems like the tide has shifted permanently in Man Utd's favour. Chelsea haven't played well enough to deserve more than they've got in fairness, but United aren't setting the world on fire either-witness their recent league game with West Brom-they should have been dead and buried at half-time, but hung around long enough for West Brom to miss a penalty, lose another centre back and forget to mark Chicarito from a corner. Chelsea meantime have missed a last minute penalty at Spurs, stormed back to take the lead late against Villa, only to lose in injury time, and contrived to lose to Wolves through a Jose Bosingwa own goal. Add to that a flat and pathetic performance at the Emirates and Chelsea now find themselves out of the Champions League qualifying places, and 9 points behind United, having played a game more than the league leaders.
What exactly is wrong at Chelsea is hard to say. Lack of interest/motivation? Perhaps, although the celebrations after the 3rd goal against Villa seemed genuine. Thin squad? Almost certainly-Kakuta, Kalou and Sturridge don't look good enough most of the time, although Kakuta and Sturridge need to see more game time. McEachran has looked really good in very limited action, but where does he fit in a 4-3-3 assuming Frank Lampard has to play. Ferreira? Not good enough, and Ancellotti's infuriating habit of using both right full backs in a game is a waste of a substitution. Injuries too have played a part-Alex, Zhirkov and Benayoun have missed significant time, as have Lapmard and Drogba, who have started slowly on their return to the 1st team. On the coaching front, it does look like the rug was pulled from under Ancellotti-the interaction between Ray Wilkins' replacement (Michael Emenalo)is non-existent during games. What exactly he contributes on the training ground is a moot point. Whatever is wrong, it needs to be fixed, and that needs to start today against Blackburn Rovers, who go into the game without Ronaldinho, but can welcome back Roque Santa Cruz from the free spending blue half of Manchester. A telling stat from the excellent Infostrada-Chelsea have picked up 7 points from a possible 27 in their last 9 Premier League matches. Only Villa (5) and West Brom (6) have picked up fewer in the same period.
For Man Utd, it's hard to say what is behind their form. Resiliance is the key I suppose. Rooney is nowhere near the player he was when fit last season, Berbatov is brilliant one game, boorish the next. Their defence has tend to bend rather than break, with injuries and mistakes leading them to concede goals to average opposition, although it has been somewhat better of late. Tip of the cap to Sir Alex, he's probably won another league title, and I wouldn't rule them out for the double after last Sunday's win.
Arsenal's win over Chelsea was seen as a 'pivotal moment' and signified 'men becoming boys'. 3 days later, Arsenal went out and drew 2-2 with 10 man Wigan. 2 steps forward, 2 steps back. In reality, anyone with an objective view of the Arsenal v Chelsea game would have seen a poor game of football, settled by the side that made the most of the opporunities gifted to it by their opponent. Without Cesc Faberas in midfield, Arsenal were rudderles, and it was only when he was moved there did they begin to tick. Like Drogba at Chelsea, and possibly Rooney, Arsenal's best player seems to be short of the sort of fitness and sharpness that allows him to be an elite difference maker. Arsenal still lack the consistency and need a little luck with injuries before they can really contend. Right now, they are still too patchy for my liking, but have the most talented squad.
Of the others-Man City will hang in there, but play too grim a brand of football to win the league-unlike Mourinho's teams, they seem more interest in containing the opposition rather than taking all 3 points. Spurs are still around, but looking to bring in David Beckham and the circus that goes with him shows that 'Arry just can't resist wheeling and dealing.
In breaking news today, it seems that Avram Grant is yet again a dead man walking, and that he will be replaced as West Ham manager by Martin O'Neil after today's game with Arsenal. Avram seems to doom any club he is involved with, I would be surprised if we see him in the Premier League again. On the Martin O'Neill story, it seems strange that he would take on such a difficult task when the Liverpool job is likely to be available in the summer...
Friday, 19 November 2010
Crisis? What crisis?
After Chelsea's somewhat surprising but certainly comprehasive defeat at home to Sunderland last weekend, the title race is 'wide open again'. Sure is. If Arsenal beat Spurs in today's lunchtime kick off, the Premier League will have a new leader for the first time since the opening afternoon. Man Utd face Wigan at home (a team that has not beaten them at 10 tries in the Premier League) coming off the back of a Great Escape against Aston Villa last week, and Wayne Rooney could see some action (on the pitch). Chelsea go on the road without Terry, Lampard and Essien to face a Birmingham team that held them to a 0-0 draw last season (the now departed Joe Hart had a large part to play in that result). Momentum appears to be shifting.
Losing John Terry for what could be an extended period (althought I suspect may only be a few weeks-especially since Alex has delayed what is presumably necessary surgery) will not help-he's not the best centre back in England, but he gives 100% and at least he knows the position-starting a game with 2 nominal full backs, one of which was playing on the wrong side of the centre, is not a recipe for a clean sheet. In addition, Chelsea lack impact players on the bench-Kalou aside, you don't expect to see goals from Sturridge, Kakuta or McEachran. On last weekend's evidence, Chelsea looked to have taken the wrong Danny from Manchester-Welbeck looks a much better prospect than Sturridge.
Looking ahead for each of the Top 3 is interesting:
Chelsea
20/11 A v Birmingham
28/11 A v Newcastle
4/12 H v Everton
12/12 A v Spurs
Prediction 5 points from 12
Arsenal
20/11 H v Spurs
27/11 A v Villa
4/12 H v Fulham
13/12 A v Man Utd
Prediction 7 points from 12
Man Utd
20/11 H v Wigan
27/11 H v Blackburn
4/12 A v Blackpool
13/12 H v Arsenal
Prediction 12 points from 12
If I'm right, by xmas the table will be
Man Utd 37 points
Chelsea 33 points
Arsenal 33 points (trailing by a few goals)
Italian managers really got people's goat on Wednesday night. Fabio Capello played Steven Gerrard for longer than he agreed with Liverpool in England's friendly over France, and Gerrard ended up aggrevating a hamstring injury and will miss a few weeks. 'Il Trap' decided that a meaningless home friendly against Norway was not the time to give a debut to Seamus Coleman, who is perhaps Ireland's outstanding/in form player in the Premier League at the moment. What exactly anyone was to learn from watching Aiden McGeady for 20 minutes at the end of the game is beyond me, and much of the Irish support as well I would think. The old Italian man is living off 60 minutes of football against a wretched French team and a reputation forged long ago in European club football (his record with Italy-a 2nd round exit on the 2002 World Cup to South Korea and a dismal Euro 2004).
And on a more sombre note....on my way to work on Wednesday morning I was listening to Des Cahill reading the sports news on RTE Radio 1. Des was singing the praises of the Munster rugby team, who had beaten the Aussies the night before. 'Thank God for Munster, they've lifted the mood in the province....' This after these stories were reported in the news the day before. Stay classy Des.
Losing John Terry for what could be an extended period (althought I suspect may only be a few weeks-especially since Alex has delayed what is presumably necessary surgery) will not help-he's not the best centre back in England, but he gives 100% and at least he knows the position-starting a game with 2 nominal full backs, one of which was playing on the wrong side of the centre, is not a recipe for a clean sheet. In addition, Chelsea lack impact players on the bench-Kalou aside, you don't expect to see goals from Sturridge, Kakuta or McEachran. On last weekend's evidence, Chelsea looked to have taken the wrong Danny from Manchester-Welbeck looks a much better prospect than Sturridge.
Looking ahead for each of the Top 3 is interesting:
Chelsea
20/11 A v Birmingham
28/11 A v Newcastle
4/12 H v Everton
12/12 A v Spurs
Prediction 5 points from 12
Arsenal
20/11 H v Spurs
27/11 A v Villa
4/12 H v Fulham
13/12 A v Man Utd
Prediction 7 points from 12
Man Utd
20/11 H v Wigan
27/11 H v Blackburn
4/12 A v Blackpool
13/12 H v Arsenal
Prediction 12 points from 12
If I'm right, by xmas the table will be
Man Utd 37 points
Chelsea 33 points
Arsenal 33 points (trailing by a few goals)
Italian managers really got people's goat on Wednesday night. Fabio Capello played Steven Gerrard for longer than he agreed with Liverpool in England's friendly over France, and Gerrard ended up aggrevating a hamstring injury and will miss a few weeks. 'Il Trap' decided that a meaningless home friendly against Norway was not the time to give a debut to Seamus Coleman, who is perhaps Ireland's outstanding/in form player in the Premier League at the moment. What exactly anyone was to learn from watching Aiden McGeady for 20 minutes at the end of the game is beyond me, and much of the Irish support as well I would think. The old Italian man is living off 60 minutes of football against a wretched French team and a reputation forged long ago in European club football (his record with Italy-a 2nd round exit on the 2002 World Cup to South Korea and a dismal Euro 2004).
And on a more sombre note....on my way to work on Wednesday morning I was listening to Des Cahill reading the sports news on RTE Radio 1. Des was singing the praises of the Munster rugby team, who had beaten the Aussies the night before. 'Thank God for Munster, they've lifted the mood in the province....' This after these stories were reported in the news the day before. Stay classy Des.
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